September 11, 2008 at 12:55 AM

Memo to Papelbon: Throw the splitter!

Apparently, locating his fastball is more important than winning the game to Jonathan Papelbon.

While Papelbon at times has an excellent split-fingered fastball, it's his four-seamer that has been his bread-and-butter. And dedication to improved location of that fastball, as well as improved efficiency, has led to a plan Papelbon has been carrying out over the past couple of months. But location is especially critical to the new strategy - without location, it doesn't work.

As Papelbon said before the game, "I don't feel there's a reason for me going to my second-best pitch when I'm effective with my No. 1." (Boston Globe)

The article gives a convincing argument that he needs to work on locating his fastball in all four quadrants of the strike zone and when he is capable of doing so, can be effective. Pitching coach John Farrell says it's like having four different pitches. Having played baseball, I can see the rationale behind that.

Another explanation is that it cuts down on Papelbon's pitches per plate appearance and inning, allowing him to increase his workload. He's leading the majors in saves lasting more than one inning (12) after finishing last year with four.

So okay, that's all well and good. We can sacrifice some strikeouts and some splitters to get him an increase workload. After all, you need to pitch your best pitchers the most often to have a chance of winning. But...

I'm sorry to break it to Papelbon, though, but his second-best pitch is a pitch every other pitcher would kill for. It's a splitter that absolutely drops off the table with no warning. It's a pitch that needs to be used, especially in these tight situations.

Especially on a night where you freely admit the fastball wasn't working as well as it was. At some times, you need to back off the pitch and mix in the splitters. If your fastball is not working and you're mopping up a 10-run lead against the Rangers, hey, go crazy. But this?

In a game that the Red Sox are holding a tenuous one-run lead against a team that excels at every facet of the game with an opportunity to truly demoralize them and leap into first, you use your splitter.

Especially on a night that writers look back and say things like "It was a game the Rays simply had to win," and "It was exactly the touch from the baseball gods the Rays desperately needed."

Throw the splitter.

Discussion

5 Comments on "Memo to Papelbon: Throw the splitter!"

#1

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Posted by Bob, September 11, 2008 11:18 AM

The division is probably the Rays now, unless we can sweep them in Tampa which seems really unlikely to me. The pitch selection was definitely a problem on tuesday, but I think Paps was simply due for a blown save at some point, he hadn't had one in a while despite some early season gaffes. Better that he gets this all out of his system now than in October.

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#2

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Posted by Bottom Line Rob, September 11, 2008 1:22 PM

Great write up Evan! Hard to disagree with you...

Supposedly this "all fastballs" approach is going to make Paps a better pitcher in the long run, but at that moment we needed a win.

I'm glad that Paps is disciplined enough to stick with the game plan, but he's the one on the mound and should know when to break from the plan - if the situation warrants it.

Bottom Line: This series was a lost opportunity. It wasn't all Paps, and it wasn't all Timlin, but the Sox can't keep making mistakes in crucial situations and expect to repeat...

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#3

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Posted by Bottom Line Rob, September 11, 2008 1:25 PM

Also... does anyone else feel like this new philosophy should be called the "Mariano Rivera Approach" ??

Mo made a career of pin-pointing his two nasty pitches around the zone...

Ever since I heard about Paps chatting with Mo at the All Star games, I felt like he's been on a mission to be "the next Rivera" - maybe to a fault....

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#4

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Posted by Dan, September 11, 2008 5:32 PM

Even though the fastball is Pap's best pitch, it is so because hitters cannot be sure that it's coming. Splitters and fastballs compliment each other so well because for the first 50 feet, they're the same pitch. So, while Pap will get more outs throwing all fastballs as opposed to all splitters, he performs best when mixing the two. Not to mention, he has made significant improvement on his slider and i don't believe i have seen a hit come from that pitch, granted he has thrown maybe three all year.

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#5

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Posted by M.A.G., September 12, 2008 5:25 PM

Great piece Evan. Right on the spot. Papelbon has become too predictable lately.

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