All quiet at short for once

Boston Red Sox shortstop Marco Scutaro (L) forces out Baltimore Orioles base runner Julio Lugo out at second base in the third inning of their MLB American League baseball game in Baltimore, Maryland June 5, 2010. Scutaro's throw to first base trying for a double play was not in time. REUTERS/Joe Giza (UNITED STATES - Tags: SPORT BASEBALL)
It looks like we can finally spend our time harping on other things this year like A low K/BB from John Lackey or Jonathon Papelbon instead of worrying about our short stop production. Marco Scutaro won't be leading the box score every night or getting top billing in the recap, but you won't see him as the goat either. Since 2003 when Nomar Garciaparra totaled 5.4 WAR in his last great season the Red Sox have only had two Short Stops total more than 1.5 WAR. Jed Lowrie in 2007 and Alex Gonzalez in 2006. Some of those were in limited time so they were better than they seemed, but only these two seasons had a real chance to be greater than average in a full season. So far in 2010 Scutaro has been an average hitter totaling -0.5 batting runs above average. His contact has been better than ever only striking out 10 percent of the time. His 2009 season was solidified though with a 13 percent walk rate where he is only walking 10 percent so far this year.
Boston Red Sox shortstop Marco Scutaro (L) forces out Baltimore Orioles base runner Julio Lugo out at second base in the third inning of their MLB American League baseball game in Baltimore, Maryland June 5, 2010. Scutaro's throw to first base trying for a double play was not in time. REUTERS/Joe Giza (UNITED STATES - Tags: SPORT BASEBALL)

It looks like we can finally spend our time harping on other things this year like A low K/BB from John Lackey or Jonathon Papelbon instead of worrying about our short stop production. Marco Scutaro won’t be leading the box score every night or getting top billing in the recap, but you won’t see him as the goat either.

Since 2003 when Nomar Garciaparra totaled 5.4 WAR in his last great season the Red Sox have only had two Short Stops total more than 1.5 WAR.  Jed Lowrie in 2007 and Alex Gonzalez in 2006.  Some of those were in limited time so they were better than they seemed, but only these two seasons had a real chance to be greater than average in a full season.

So far in 2010 Scutaro has been an average hitter totaling -0.5 batting runs above average.  His contact has been better than ever only striking out 10 percent of the time.  His 2009 season was solidified though with a 13 percent walk rate where he is only walking 10 percent so far this year.

His glove has been a solid addition this year adding 3.5 runs according to UZR, which is third best on the team behind J.D. Drew and Adrian Beltre.  While not flashy his range has been solid and added to his value.  His career numbers point to a more average total so expecting more here would be dangerous.

His numbers look much like what should have been expected with maybe a bit more on base skills.  Currently his WAR total’s 1.5, which ranks tied for second among all Red Sox short stops since Nomar in any one season.  This is only 56 games played and a solid if not spectacular start for Scutaro.

With a 2010 salary of $5 million he has already made his value back with his WAR making him a $5.9 million value in free agent dollars based on what he has done so far.

When 2010 is done Scutaro should be somewhere at or above a final total of 2.0 WAR, which won’t draw rave reviews, but will be a strong value for his salary and let the Red Sox endure an off season without short stop questions for the first time in a long time.  This allows Jose Iglesias plenty of time to grow and take his time on arriving as hopefully the next defensive wizard at the short stop spot in Boston.

Categories: Boston Red Sox Marco Scutaro

After taking an interest in sabermetrics and statistical analysis Troy began trying to use it to an advantage in fantasy baseball. He started the website RotoSavants.com and also spent time at HardballTimes.com and FantasyPros911.com. After a few years the interest in the Red Sox drew him to start a Red Sox-oriented site (Yawkey Way Academy) with fellow writer Lee Perrault. A short time later he joined Fire Brand. Writer from: December 14, 2009 – July 24, 2010, March 3, 2011 – May 10, 2012.

3 Responses to “All quiet at short for once” Subscribe

  1. Fireball Fred June 8, 2010 at 3:13 PM #

    A good solid signing. Some teams might find $5 m. a lot for such a player, but compared to Renteria and Lugo it's a great deal.

    • Joe Veno June 8, 2010 at 3:33 PM #

      Not to mention being compared to what the average player costs on the free agent market…

  2. John Cate June 9, 2010 at 9:11 AM #

    He's been worth every penny the Red Sox are paying him. No more revolving door at shortstop.