Month: April 2010

Looking For Runs In All The Wrong Places

It's been a rough couple of weeks, folks. We've all heard it, we've all said it, we've all felt it. There's been enough negative energy in this town lately to give Vigo from Ghostbusters II a sugar high. However, if you sat there tonight watching grown millionaires crowd around Darnell McDonald like they were ten years old again and your cynicism, pessimism and negativity didn't melt away, you have no soul.

Tonight, it was the song of the backups -- the team was lifted up and carried by players no one has on a fantasy team, and eventually it was those players who gave the Red Sox their most inspiring win of the young season (with, admittedly, stunningly little competition). McDonald, Jeremy Hermida and Josh Reddick drove in six of the team's seven runs, and two of them weren't even on the roster this morning.

JD Drew struggles to get on base

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox
Something we aren't used to seeing in Boston is JD Drew not getting on base over 35 percent of the time. So far in 2010 he has only walked 12 percent of the time and struck out 42 percent of the time. For a career rate around 22 percent that is a huge jump. Strike out rate is something that takes about 200+ AB to become statistically significant so it's to early to say he has lost his swing, but perhaps we can see what is troubling him so far in 2010. One thing I noticed is in his swing charts he has gone after many more down and inside pitches than he did all of last year. Here is his swing chart from 2009 and notice how most of the pitches are very tight in the zone.

4/19 Online Seats Game Thread: Patriot’s Day Turnaround

On the holiest (and most proprietary) of all state-wide holidays, the Boston Red Sox will try to turn it around against the Rays, who have taken the first three of the series. With the Marathon in the rear view, John Lackey looks to lead the Sox past their slump.

So Goes the Pitching…

Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins
So Goes the Pitching Staff In the midst of a four-game losing streak that has dropped the team to 4-8, Sox fans have begun the multi-annual ritual of name calling and finger pointing as to where blame lies on the club’s current skid. While the hitting has been poor by the normal standards, perhaps the most alarming development of the season has been the utter failure of the starting pitching staff. Of particular note is how easy the hurlers have been to hit and how often they have been falling behind early in the count. Jon Lester (5.40 BB/9, 1.5 K:BB ratio), John Lackey (4.26 BB/9, 0.83 K:BB), Jon Papelbon (8.44 BB/9, 0.40 K:BB), and Clay Buchholz (5.40 BB/9, 1.33 K:BB) have been the poster children for this trend -- seeing a precipitous deterioration in their first strike rates, zone percentages, and their contact rates.

Ryan Khoury may be small in stature, but he has a big game

Arguably ever since Ryan Khoury first put on a baseball uniform his life in the sport has been about overcoming odds and proving his critics wrong. Too short. Too slow. Too weak. Too something. Take your pick but at one time or another Khoury was labeled one -- if not all -- of the above.

Money in the margins

MLB: Red Sox vs Royals APR 11
What is the first thing a server asks you when sit down at a table? “What can I get you to drink?” Why is the desert menu usually separate from the rest of the menu? Because flour, sugar, syrup and water are cheap and not labor intensive. The profit on that steak may be 40 to 50 percent after labor is included in its preparation but the soda you have been chugging down in the mean time nets a 98 percent gain.

Where Theo Epstein truly makes his money is with the players on the margins, the soda and German chocolate cakes players who propel an 81 win team to a 96 win team.