The Green Bay Packers head west to take on the Los Angeles Chargers in a Week 9 interconference battle. The Packers are 7-1 at the halfway mark of the season and are in first place in the NFC North while the Chargers are a disappointing 3-5. The Packers are coming off a 31-24 win over the Kansas City Chiefs while Los Angeles edged the Chicago Bears 17-16 last week in Chicago. This is Green Bay’s final meeting with an AFC team during the regular season. The Packers are 3-0 in games against AFC opponents thus far in 2019.
The Packers and Chargers have met 11 times since the series started in 1970 with Green Bay holding a 10-1-0 advantage in the series. The Packers have won the last seven meetings between these two teams and various betting apps have taken notice, find a range of reviews here.
Here is a look at the five key factors that will determine who wins Sunday’s game in Los Angeles:
1. Green Bay Needs to Run
The Chargers defense is stronger against the pass than it is against the run. Los Angeles is ranked 23rd in the league against the run, allowing 122.8 yards per game. In addition, the Chargers defensive line is banged up entering this game. Defensive tackle Cortez Broughton is out due to an illness while DTs Justin Jones (shoulder) and Brendon Mebane (knee) are listed as doubtful.
The Packers interior offensive line has done a very good job of run blocking in recent games, especially when it counted at the end of the Chiefs game. Corey Linsley, Elgton Jenkins and Billy Turner should have an advantage blocking inside and the Packers duo of Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams should be able to run the football against the Chargers vulnerable front seven. This should help set up play action passes by Aaron Rodgers.
2. Pressure Philip Rivers
Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers is an experienced veteran who has had a very productive career. Rivers will be 38 in December and the NC State alum is not known for him mobility.
The Packers should be able to get some pressure on Rivers to keep him from getting into a throwing rhythm. The last time these two teams met in 2015, Rivers had a field day against the Green Bay defense, throwing for 503 yards and two touchdowns.
The Packers duo of Za’Darius and Preston Smith must get some pressure on Rivers because he is still capable of picking apart a defense even at this stage of his career.
Rivers has been sacked 14 times in eight games thus far. Although the Chargers got star offensive tackle Russell Okung back in the lineup last week, it is not clear if he is 100 percent healthy and the Packers could try to exploit that during this game.
3. Contain Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler
Allen remains the Chargers most dangerous target and the Packers must find a way to slow him down. Four years ago, Allen torched the Packers for 14 catches and 157 yards at Lambeau Field.
Allen is on pace for 102 catches and more than 1,200 yards and is in the prime of his career. It will be up to Jaire Alexander and Kevin King to prevent Allen from making splash plays against the Green Bay defense.
Ekeler is a dangerous receiver out of the backfield and is tied with Allen for the team lead with 51 catches on the season. The Packers have struggled to cover fast running backs in the past and must find a way to prevent Rivers from using Ekeler as a check down receiver who can pick up key first downs and keep drives alive.
4. Spread the Ball Around
The Green Bay offense has worked well over the past four weeks without Davante Adams because Rodgers has spread the ball around and found the open receiver. Whether it’s Jones and Jamaal Williams out of the backfield, Marquez Valdes-Scantling deep downfield or fullback Danny Vitale in the flat, Rodgers has done a great job of finding the mismatch and exploiting it.
Adams may be back in the lineup Sunday and will be a game-time decision. If he does return, the Packers should bring him back slowly and not try to ask too much of him too soon.
Los Angeles will be without safety Derwin James and his absence has hurt the Chargers defense badly in all facets of the game. Former Packer Casey Hayward will try to slow down the Packers outside receivers.
The Chargers defense is ranked 6th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game, so Rodgers must be efficient and effective Sunday.
5. Win the Turnover Battle
The Packers bend but don’t break defense relies on stopping opponents in the red zone and forcing them to settle for field goals. They have also exceled at creating turnovers with 14 in eight games. The Packers are a plus-seven in turnover differential, good for the third best margin in the league.
The Chargers are a minus-three in turnover differential which places them in the bottom half of the league. If the Packers can win the turnover battle, they stand an excellent chance of winning the game.
Although the Chargers are 3-5, they are still a talented team that has underachieved and been felled by injuries. This won’t be an easy game for the Packers, but they should find a way to win it if Rodgers performs as well as he has in the last four weeks.