With the team sitting a game below .500 in the second half of May (the latest they've been there since the dark September of 2001), it's almost time to admit the obvious: this is likely not a playoff team.
Yes, I know it's still technically early. I know that many teams have executed comebacks far greater than this one would be, and I know that the Sox are not playing at the level of quality they should be, and the one at which they still might down the line. However, they're chasing two frighteningly talented teams, and a nine game swing will be very tough to overcome.
I also know that just two weeks ago, I wrote a long article discussing reasons for optimism. I'm still optimistic - I believe this team is far better than what we've seen so far, and I think it will wind up being the best third place team the league has seen in some time. But they'll still likely be a third place team. The question, then, becomes this: how will we view this season two years from now? Will it be an aberration? A signal of the end of an era? Or will we see it as the halting first steps of a new contending club? To answer that question, it's worth looking back at the most recent disappointing teams of the Theo/Trio era, and what they each signaled.
May 19, 2010
andrew lipsett
