So far is seems that way.
Keith Law responded to a question in his chat yesterday, asking whether or not Buchholz's Groundball percentage is real or not. Law's response:
"I only saw one outing but I could believe it. His arm slot was a little lower and his fastball had more life than I'd seen in the past (and it was harder - 92-96)."
I had been thinking about this, and Evan mentioned it as well. But would the Red Sox be better off letting Jason Bay walk? Would they be better off taking the draft picks, finding a one-year stopgap. And hopefully letting Josh Reddick take over the position, at a very cheap price, and under club control for a while?
Look, we all know there is risk in expecting young players to contribute before they might be ready. Clay Buchholz was supposed to be the guy in 2008, supposed to be that ace. But he wasn't, and still isn't--although improved. Simply put, we don't know how good Josh Reddick will be. We expect big things, or good things, but we don't know. So putting faith in prospects does have its risks.
However, signing veterans to long term contracts also has risks. Jason Bay is not an up-the-middle defender. He is not 26--although not old by any means either. And he is a sub-par defender according to any defensive metric that matters. As he may not be atrocious in left, but he is far from good. And corner outfielders do impact a game much less than the premium positions do, at least in terms of run prevention.